Watch John Oliver Explain Why the Iran Nuclear Deal Must Not End on Last Week Tonight
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The Iran nuclear deal is up for recertification on May 12, and this week’s edition of Last Week Tonight took its time to highlight why it is an important diplomatic achievement, as well as to profile why President Trump might undercut it.
The deal vastly haltered Iran’s nuclear threat, forbidding them from enriching Uranium beyond amounts vastly lower than what is needed to develop nuclear weapons and subjecting Iranian facilities to constant observation. In exchange, the U.S. and a coalition of other nations released funds held from Iran by sanctions. The deal keeps these measures in place for the next 10 to 15 years, but has been met with heavy criticism from U.S. and Iranian officials for different reasons. Most of that criticism, especially remarks from Trump himself, has been debunked as misleading or untrue, but with the deal’s recertification scheduled for May 12, Trump now has the ability to back out of the deal.
Blowing up the Iran deal could cause ramifications that impact multiple nations on a global scale. The Trump administration has stated that Iran could just wait out the agreement and ramp up its nuclear capacity when the deal expires, though there is little evidence to support that claim currently. If those claims are true, ending the deal now would only allow those fears to come to fruition much sooner than if the deal remained in place. That increase in nuclearization could begin an arms race in the Middle East that could further strain the already-stressed relations between Iran and its neighbors, with Israel being a key target.
These concerns seem to hold very little sway with the president’s advisors, most notably new National Security Advisor John Bolton, who has been a vocal opponent of the deal for years. Bolton has also advocated for the invasion of Iran in an effort to topple its Islamic regime, most recently detailed in an address given in Paris last year where he declared, “Before 2019, we here will celebrate in Tehran.” Trump has established measures he wants in exchange for recertification, but none of them are mutually beneficial to both sides and fall very short of adoption, not only by Iran but also the nations that negotiated the deal alongside the U.S.